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Americans are real party animals — at least when it comes to interpreting global warming. That’s the conclusion of a new report in the September/October Environment. In it,
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, university scientists use Gallup poll data to show that Democrats and Republicans have exhibited increasingly consistent but divergent beliefs over the past decade about the certainty of climate change.
During this period,
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, climatologists,
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, environmental scientists and geologists have largely reached a consensus that the planet is warming and that human activities must carry much of the blame. While Democrats have generally grown to accept that assessment,
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, increasing numbers of Republicans have done the opposite.
Polling data are notoriously suspect. The answers people give are often heavily influenced by the precise wording of a question. And sometimes people offer up answers that they think the questioner wishes to hear — or vice versa. That said, if the authors’ assessment of the polling data in this paper turn out to be true, we’re in trouble. Because they suggest that a large share of Americans make science take a back seat to partisan rhetoric and/or boosterism.
In 1997,
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, some 27 percent of Democrats and 37 percent of Republicans thought news of global warming was exaggerated. As of March of this year,
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, only 17 percent of Democrats still held that view,
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, while a whopping 59 percent of Republicans did.
When respondents were asked whether most scientists

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